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Investment Decision-making under Conditions of Uncertainty

Study program:
Mining Engineering (III semester -PhD)
Name of subject: Investment Decision-making under Conditions of Uncertainty
Instructors:
Prof. Zoran Gligorić, Prof. Čedomir Beljić
Status: Optional
ECTS: 10
Prerequisites: BSc, MSc
Course Objectives:
After learning the course the students should be able to make investment decision subject to uncertainties
Learning Outcomes:
Underground Mining Engineer-Decision maker
Content:

Theory teaching
Introduction. Simulation. Fuzzy set theory. Uncertainty analysis. Uncertainty quantification. Stochastic differential equations. Geometric Brownian motion. Mean reverting process. From probability to possibility transformation. Cost analysis. Decision making criteria (NPV, IRR, PI, MIRR). Uncertainty of discount rate. Multicriteria decision making with uncertainty.

Practical teaching
Underground mine project investment analysis with uncertainty.

Suggested Reading List:
  1. Ian C. Runge: Mining Econimics and Strategy ISBN 0-87335-165-7;
  2. Zimmerman HJ (1992) Fuzzy set theory and its application, Kluwer Boston
  3. W.J DeCoursey: Statistics and Probability for Engineering Applications ISBN 7506-7618-3
  4. Thomas F. Torries: Evaluating Mineral Projects ISBNO 0-87335-159-2;
  5. Ching Lai Hwang, Kwangsun Yoon, Multiple Attribute Decision Making, ISBN 3-540-10558
Conduct of the Course:
Lectures
Fund hours:
Lectures Exercises Other forms of teaching Study research
4 0 0 0
Assessment:
Final Exam ECTS
Oral Exam30

Classwork Assessment ECTS
Class Participationа10
Practical Classes20
Seminars40
Additional Assessment Criteria: -


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