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Предметни професор
Термин консултација:

среда 13-14

Кабинет: 119
E-mail: zoran.gligoric@rgf.bg.ac.rs

Инвестиционо одлучивање у условима неодређености

О предмету

Студијски програм: Рударско инжењерство (III семестар -DOS)

Назив предмета: Инвестиционо одлучивање у условима неодређености

Предавачи: проф. др Зоран Глигорић, проф. др Чедомир Бељић

Статус предмета: Изборни

ЕСПБ бодови: 10

Услов: Основне академске и основне мастер студије

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Циљ предмета: Оспособљавање студената да примењују савремене методе одлучивања у условима неодређености које су последица тржишних кретања, недовољне дефинисаности података који се односе на само рудно лежиште

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Исход предмета: Рударски инжењер-доносиоц инвестиционих одлука

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Садржај предмета:

Теоријска настава
Увод, Симулације, Расплинути скупови типа 1, Расплинути скупови типа 2, Анализа извора неодређености (унутрашњих и спољашњих), Квантификација неодређености и превођење у ризике, Стохастичке диференцијалне једначине. Брауново геометријско кретање, Процес повратка на средњу вредност са и без скокова, Трансформација симулирања у фази показатеље, Структура трошкова, Дефинисање критеријума одлучивања НПВ, ИРР, ПИ, МИРР. Неодређеност дисконтне стопе. Вишекритеријумско одлучивање

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Анализа инвестиционог пројекта која садржи симулације и фазификације унутрашњих и спољашњих извора неодређености, садржај корисне компоненте у лежишту, коефицијент искоришћења лежишта, трошкови производње, тржишна кретања вредности минералних сировина, дисконтна стопа. Избор најповољнијег инвестиционог пројекта њиховим рангирањем у односу на постављене циљеве односно критеријуме.

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